Golden Globe Wrap-Up.

I got a shocking 16 out of 25 predictions right, which is doing pretty well for the Golden Globes. I swept most of the acting categories, other than the random suprises in Television - I don't think anyone thought Ed Harris or Don Cheadle were real competitors, but the HFPA does like to give awards to new, fresh entries. The big win was the surprising Best Picture and Best Directing awards for Argo, which I was shocked but pleasantly surprised by. I'd heard a lot of buzz about the possibility of Lincoln sweeping things leading up to the event, but instead we got a lot of wealth spreading, with Ben Affleck's "based on a true story" thriller rising to the top.

In the misses, the only one that landed in my "Should Win" column was the "Best Comedy or Musical" win for "Girls", which was an unexpected pleasure. Cue the vicious, sexist articles about Lena Dunham in 3... 2... (does a quick Google search) Looks like it's Nikki Finke's turn, everyone! "No talent"... "most hated femme in Hollywood"... "Are we positive she doesn't have a Y chromosome?"... pretty standard stuff.

To me, though, the biggest miss was not having Tina Fey and Amy Poehler out there more. We got one biting monologue and then three jokes scattered throughout the next three hours? I wanted them out there all the time. I wanted them on a couch behind the winners, shouting snarky things. C'mon, it's not the Oscars. They're serving alchohol all through the show. Let's go ahead get a little loose.

But who cares? Let's all talk about Justin Timberlake's new song. I'm not wild about the lyricism, but those jazzy horns are just fantastic.

Let's Do Some Golden Globes Picks!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hey, the Globes are tomorrow! I totally forgot about it. I need to get some predictions down.

Wait, do I? No, I don't. No one does Golden Globes picks. Because the Golden Globes are insane. It's the weirdest award show that we all pay attention to.

We don't really televise the SAG awards or the DGA awards, but we do have a big show for an award show voted on by less than 90 people of baffling backgrounds. The Hollywood Foreign Press Association is an impressive sounding institution, but their membership is a touch baffling. There's a member from a Bangladesh film magazine, but the film critics for Le Monde and London Times are both denied entry. Plus, most of the voters are non-foreign LA residents who are only part-time journalists, so you have to assume their selections will be a little squirrelly.

And squirrelly they are. Remember when Anna Paquin won Best Actress for "True Blood"? That was hilarious.

I'll do a quick list of predicted winners, along with whoever I think should win. But who knows? By the end of the night, we could be watching Emily Blunt holding up a trophy for Salmon Fishing in the Yemen. This show is bananas.

Let’s do movies first:

 

Motion Picture

Best Motion Picture - Drama
Winner: Zero Dark Thirty
Should Win: Zero Dark Thirty

Best Performance By An Actress In A Motion Picture - Drama
Winner: Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
Should Win: Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty

Best Performance By An Actor In A Motion Picture - Drama
Winner: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
Should Win: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

Best Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical
Winner: Les Misérables
Should Win: Silver Linings Playbook

Best Performance By An Actress In A Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical
Winner: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
Should Win: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook

Best Performance By An Actor In A Motion Picture – Comedy or Music
Winner: Hugh Jackman, Les Misérables
Should Win: Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook

Best Animated Feature Film
Winner: Brave
Should Win: Wreck-It Ralph

Foreign Language Film
Winner: Amour
Should Win: The Intouchables

Best Performance By An Actresss In A Supporting Role In A Motion Picture
Winner: Anne Hathaway, Les Misérables
Should Win: Amy Adams, The Master (I'm not totally sold on this pick. I'm just not as over the moon that Hathaway is so head-and-shoulders above the competition) 

Best Performance By An Actor In A Supporting Role In A Motion Picture
Winner: Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
Should Win: Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master

Best Director – Motion Picture
Winner: Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
Should Win: Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty

Best Screenplay – Motion Picture
Winner: Tony Kushner, Lincoln
Should Win: Tony Kushner, Lincoln

Original Score – Motion Picture
Winner: Alexandre Despat, Argo
Should Win: Alexandre Despat, Argo

Original Song – Motion Picture
Winner: “Skyfall,” Adele
Should Win: “Safe & Sound,” The Civil Wars and Taylor Swift

 

Television

Best Television Series – Drama
Winner: “Homeland”
Should Win: How is “Mad Men” not nominated here? 

Best Performance By An Actress In A Television Series – Drama
Winner: Claire Danes, “Homeland”
Should Win: Claire Danes, “Homeland”

Best Performance By An Actor In A Television Series – Drama
Winner: Damien Lewis, “Homeland”
Should Win: Jon Hamm, “Mad Men”

Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical
Winner: “Modern Family”
Should Win: “Girls”

Best Performance By An Actress In A Television Series – Comedy Or Musical
Winner: Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Veep”
Should Win: Amy Poehler, “Parks and Recreation” 

Best Performance By An Actor In A Television Series – Comedy Or Musical
Winner: Jim Parsons, “The Big Bang Theory”
Should Win: Louis C.K., “Louie” 

Best Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made For Television
Winner: Game Change, HBO
Should Win: The Hour, BBC America

Best Performance By An Actress In A Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made For Television
Winner: Julianne Moore, Game Change
Should Win: Julianne Moore, Game Change

Best Performance By An Actor In A Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made For Television
Winner: Kevin Costner, Hatfields & McCoys
Should Win: Benedict Cumberbatch, Sherlock

Best Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role In A Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made For Television
Winner: Maggie Smith, “Downton Abbey: Season 2”
Should Win: Maggie Smith, “Downton Abbey: Season 2”

Best Performance By An Actress In A Supporting Role In A Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made For Television
Winner: Mandy Patinkin, “Homeland”
Should Win: Mandy Patinkin, “Homeland”

 

Wow, I disagreed with the imaginary HFPA in my head more and more as we went along. Mighta tapped into something dark there. 

If you’re watching the Globes, feel free to follow along and see how I did. I, myself, am pretty excited about for the Globes, and the chance to see some classic Tina Fey-Amy Poehler banter during the show. Let’s the Update desk out there and make ‘em do some fake news!

On "Snubs"

I usually write a brief post regarding the Oscar snubs each year (I believe there’s an article in the Constitution that insists they are referred to as “snubs”), and so does every major media outfit. It’s such an easy piece, because a lot of times there’s six or seven “deserving” nominees for each category, so you can chastise the Academy for missing out on one or two nominees without mentioning which nominees you would have done without.

I’d like to do an experiment to see if the Academy nominated the other candidates, whether movie sites would still write the exact same article with different names, but without easy access to mind-altering drugs, I don’t know how I’d pull it off.

The big story this year was in the "Directing" category, which skipped most of the heavy hitters – including the two people most likely to win the award – to nominate Austrian Michael Haneke (who I’d never heard of until a week ago, but is now being referred to as “someone always considered one of the masters of the medium”) as well as first-time director Benh Zeitlin. It’s a strange category, and I don’t know who wins it.

So, rather than just complaining about other people’s picks, I’m gonna make my own selections for each of the categories. This sounds like fun! And not like a ton of unnecessary work or anything.

Let’s start with the big category:

 

Best Picture

Actual Nominees
Amour
Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Django Unchained
Les Misérables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty

My Picks
Argo
Django Unchained
Moonrise Kingdom
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty

You may think this is a sneak preview of my “Favorite Films” list, but it’s really not. There’s three or four films in my top-ten list that don’t shout “Best Picture!” at me, but I still liked more than almost every film I saw this year. We’ll get there later.

These lists aren’t that different – I pulled Amour, Beasts of the Southern Wild, and Les Misérables, while adding Moonrise Kingdom and Skyfall. My problem with the nominees isn’t that the wrong films were nominated, just that there were a few less deserving of nomination. I haven’t seen Amour yet (and probably won’t), so that choice is just supposition, but I’m not someone who tends to be intensely impressed with angry-conversations-in-living-rooms movies.

By the way, whoever does the PR for Amour and Beasts of the Southern Wild deserves a substantial pay raise. Beasts (which cost less than $2 million to make), made only $11 million, while Amour has made only $300K so far. Neither film was remotely considered for Best Picture nod three weeks ago. That’s an incredible turnaround.

 

Actor In A Leading Role

Actual Nominees

Bradley Cooper in Silver Linings Playbook
Daniel Day-Lewis in Lincoln
Hugh Jackman in Les Misérables
Joaquin Phoenix in The Master
Denzel Washington in Flight

My Picks
Bradley Cooper in Silver Linings Playbook
Daniel Day-Lewis in Lincoln
John Hawkes in The Sessions
Denzel Washington in Flight 

And… that’s it. I don't have a problem with this category, frankly. If I have to stick in one more to fill in the nominations, I’ll add Hugh Jackman back in for Les Misérables. Lord knows the man committed to the role.

Actor In A Supporting Role

Actual Nominees
Alan Arkin in Argo
Robert De Niro in Silver Linings Playbook
Philip Seymour Hoffman in The Master
Tommy Lee Jones in Lincoln
Christoph Waltz in Django Unchained

My Picks
Javier Bardem in Skyfall
Leonardo DiCaprio in Django Unchained
Philip Seymour Hoffman in The Master
Scoot McNairy in Argo
Christoph Waltz in Django Unchained

I don’t understand all the attention Arkin gets for Argo – he gets most of the laughs in the film but carries none of the weight that the other actors are asked to. I’d rather pick McNairy, who is deeply unnerving in the film. In fact, I’d rather take a number of nominations over Arkin – Samuel L. Jackson for Django, or Dwight Henry for Beasts of the Southern Wild. Frankly, I’d have taken the CGI tiger from Life of Pi over him.

Honestly, I thought a lot of movie companies did a lousy job promoting their actors in this category. Haven’t seen any buzz for Jeff Daniels in Looper or Mark Duplass for Safety Not Guaranteed. Not to mention the complete lack of buzz for Ezra Miller in Perks of the Being A Wallflower, or Eddie Redmayne’s star-making turn in Les Misérables. Or at least three different people in Moonrise Kingdom. Instead, we have five previous Oscar winners going head-to-head. Not a lot to root for there.

 

Actress in a Leading Role

Actual Nominees

Jessica Chastain in Zero Dark Thirty
Jennifer Lawrence in Silver Linings Playbook
Emmanuelle Riva in Amour
Quvenzhané Wallis in Beast of the Southern Wild
Naomi Watts in The Impossible

I don’t have any problem with this list. I haven’t seen Riva’s performance in Amour, but there’s no one I’m screaming for in this category. Supposedly Marion Cotillard is incredible in Rust and Bone, and Rachel Weisz in The Deep Blue Sea, but I haven’t seen either film. Though apparently in Rust and Bone, a killer whale eats off Cotillard’s legs, so you better believe I’m gonna check that out.

 

Actress in a Supporting Role

Actual Nominees
Amy Adams in The Master
Sally Field in Lincoln
Anne Hathaway in Les Misérables
Helen Hunt in The Sessions
Jacki Weaver in Silver Linings Playbook

My picks
Amy Adams in The Master
Samantha Barks in Les Misérables
Sally Field in Lincoln
Anne Hathaway in Les Misérables
Helen Hunt in The Sessions

Once again, not a lot of difference here. I don’t know how Jacki Weaver managed to snag a nod for her tiny part in Silver Linings Playbook other than that there’s not a lot of competition this year. I did a web search to see if I missed anyone, but most of the focus is on Nicole Kidman missing a nomination for The Paperboy or Maggie Smith for Best Exotic Marigold Hotel, neither of which I saw.

 

Directing

Actual Nominees
Amour –
Michael Haneke
Beasts of the Southern Wild –
Benh Zeitlin
Life of Pi –
Ang Lee
Lincoln
– Steven Spielberg
Silver Linings Playbook
– David O. Russell

My Picks
Argo –
Ben Affleck
Django Unchained –
Quentin Tarantino
Life of Pi
– Ang Lee
Moonrise Kingdom
– Wes Anderson
Zero Dark Thirty
– Kathryn Bigelow

It seems crazy to drop Spielberg from this list, since I currently think he’s going to be the winner here, but I think that his best decisions about the movie were all done as a producer – landing Day-Lewis, Field, Jones, etc., not to mention getting Janusz Kaminski to shoot the film. As a director, he really steps back and lets his actors go to work. It’s a good directorial decision, but not a tough or flashy one.

My only holdover is Ang Lee for Life of Pi – the movie I hope wins this category this February.

 

Other Categories

I’m pretty – maybe even “very” – happy with the nominees in other sections. I was glad to see Roger Deakins land a cinematography nominee for Skyfall, and was pleased to see the Academy managed to nominate five deserving animated movies. I noticed both “Snow White” movies got costume design nods, which is the kind of correct decision the Academy never makes. There’s finally five songs in “Original Song,” and they had the sense not to nominate that dumb Jon Bon Jovi song. 

I was psyched to see John Kahrs’ gorgeous short, “Paperman” get a nomination, since I’m hoping it marks a return to form for Disney in the realm of hand-drawn animation. I thought the technical categories went to a nice blend of Argo/Life of Pi/Skyfall/Zero Dark Thirty, and there weren’t any nonsense nominees in the visual effects category for once (The Avengers had to get nominated somewhere).

Even the screenplay categories are pretty good. In “Original Screenplay”, the only one I’m not wild about is the Flight script, so I would have jammed Looper or Safety Not Guaranteed in there. I think Life of Pi is perfectly deserving as an adapted screenplay nominee, but unlike Lincoln or Argo, there wasn’t much work to be done to transition it from book to script. The best bits were already there. Am I insane to watch Joss Whedon’s Avengers script in there? I will admit that I probably am.

 All in all, a pretty good collection of nominees this year, with only one category having an obvious miss. And while a couple of the acting nominees seem set in stone already (count on Day-Lewis and Hathaway as locks, with a strong possibility that the Globes and SAG awards will clarify the other categories – my early guesses are Tommy Lee Jones and Jennifer Lawrence, with Emmanuelle Riva as possible spoiler), but no obvious selection for Best Picture, which makes things more enjoyable.

Best Concert Movie That Isn't A Concert Movie: Shut Up And Play The Hits!

The movie opens on LCD Soundsystem’s frontman and creator, James Murphy, awakening in his bed the night after his band’s triumphant final show. He gets up, a curious expression on his face. He checks his phone, looks at as if he’s going to call someone back, then thinks better of it. He feeds the dog. He takes the dog for a walk. His expression doesn’t change. We begin to realize that we are watching a man with no concept of how he feels, who has awoken for the first time in his life with no purpose at all. He wanders aimlessly through his massive white apartment, picking things up and putting them back down. He isn’t sad or bereaved. He’s just lost.

He goes out and runs errands, visiting his manager, closing down his offices, meeting his band for one last celebratory dinner. At his manager’s behest, he goes to take one last look at the band’s instruments, locked away in storage room somewhere, before they are parceled out and sold. He stands in a dingy cement, surrounded by rows of guitars and keyboards, and without warning, just starts crying. He stands there, unmoving, for a long, long, minute, weeping without a hint of control.

These scenes are intercut with songs from the previous night’s performance (actually, these scenes intercut the performance), a wildly successful show at a sold-out Madison Square Garden, with enraptured fans dancing wildly about. The band plays the songs with end-of-the-world gusto. The concert is brilliantly captured by a horde of hidden handheld cameramen. He’s joined on stage by A-list guests like Reggie Watts and Arcade Fire (fine, one for two). It’s the best concert film I’ve ever seen. Yet none of it sticks with me like the images of a middle-aged man, weeping alone in a gray basement room, sadly and deliberately closing a chapter on his life.

Best Adaptation: The Perks of Being A Wallflower!

I’ve said it before in my commentary on the film (my only review of a film this year, I think!), but young adult novelists with no directorial experience aren’t supposed to be able to create moving, subtle, sweet adaptations of their works. I know John Goodman joked in Argo that “I can train a rhebus monkey to be a director”, but directing is hard, you guys. Go watch that Werner Herzog documentary if you don’t believe me (it’s called Burden of Dreams, about the creation of Herzog’s Fitzcarraldo, and it’s the film that convinces hundreds of film students a year to say, “y’know, maybe I’ll become a writer’s assistant.”). Speaking of Argo, which we’ll be revisiting later, but I’m more impressed by Stephen Chobsky’s unforeseen directorial skill than I am by Ben Affleck’s reinvention as a director. And that is not a slight on Affleck or Argo in any way.*

*Nor is that giving a pass to the horrendous snub Argo received in the Oscar directorial nominations. Cripes, Hollywood. Get it together.